Fixtures
Upcoming matches, winning expectancies and Elo exchanges
Scenario positions are provisional and use current points; future goal-difference changes cannot be predicted. GB is the simulated points difference from the final qualifying position divided by three points per win. First place in each non-Premier division is the direct-promotion position.
Upcoming matches in Premier League, winning expectancies, and estimates of Elo points exchanged
Elo changes are for the team on each row; the opponent receives the opposite change. +1 to +4 are winning margins; 5+ is estimated using a five-goal win.
| Round | Match | Current | Three-way outcome probability | Elo points exchanged | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Rating | Team win | Draw | Draw | +1 | +2 | +3 | +4 | 5+ | ||
Premier League season results
| Round | Match | Rating | Rank | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club | Score | Change | New | Change | Current | |
| Finals 3 | MCC | 6 | +32 | 2483 | +0 | 1 |
| KBH Brumbies | 3 | −32 | 2319 | −1 | 4 | |
| Finals 2 | Doncaster | 4 | −75 | 2344 | −2 | 4 |
| KBH Brumbies | 6 | +75 | 2351 | +1 | 3 | |
| Finals 2 | MCC | 6 | +77 | 2451 | +1 | 1 |
| Camberwell | 2 | −77 | 2382 | −1 | 2 | |
| Finals 1 | Camberwell | 5 | +14 | 2459 | +0 | 1 |
| Hawthorn | 0 | −14 | 2131 | +0 | 7 | |
| Finals 1 | Southern United | 3 | −32 | 2213 | −1 | 5 |
| KBH Brumbies | 4 | +32 | 2276 | +1 | 4 | |
| Round 18 | Footscray | 1 | −17 | 1977 | +0 | 10 |
| Hawthorn | 2 | +17 | 2145 | +0 | 7 | |
| Round 18 | MCC | 7 | +18 | 2374 | +0 | 3 |
| Greensborough | 3 | −18 | 2073 | +0 | 8 | |
| Round 18 | KBH Brumbies | 2 | −32 | 2244 | −1 | 5 |
| Camberwell | 4 | +32 | 2445 | +0 | 1 | |
| Round 18 | Altona | 5 | +36 | 2063 | +0 | 9 |
| Essendon | 0 | −36 | 1836 | +0 | 11 | |
| Round 18 | Doncaster | 3 | +31 | 2419 | +0 | 2 |
| Southern United | 0 | −31 | 2245 | +0 | 4 | |
| Round 18 | Waverley | 4 | +5 | 2183 | +0 | 6 |
| Mentone | 0 | −5 | 1652 | −1 | 15 | |
| Round 17 | Hawthorn | 2 | +21 | 2128 | +1 | 7 |
| Altona | 1 | −21 | 2027 | +0 | 9 | |
| Round 17 | MCC | 1 | −37 | 2356 | −2 | 3 |
| Doncaster | 2 | +37 | 2388 | +2 | 1 | |
| Round 17 | Essendon | 3 | −14 | 1872 | +0 | 11 |
| KBH Brumbies | 9 | +14 | 2276 | +0 | 5 | |
| Round 17 | Greensborough | 3 | −51 | 2091 | −2 | 8 |
| Waverley | 5 | +51 | 2178 | +2 | 6 | |
| Round 17 | Camberwell | 4 | +35 | 2413 | +1 | 1 |
| Southern United | 1 | −35 | 2276 | −1 | 5 | |
| Round 17 | Mentone | 3 | −7 | 1657 | −1 | 14 |
| Footscray | 4 | +7 | 1994 | +0 | 10 | |
| Round 16 | Footscray | 4 | +21 | 1987 | +0 | 10 |
| Greensborough | 4 | −21 | 2142 | −1 | 7 | |
| Round 16 | KBH Brumbies | 4 | +27 | 2262 | +0 | 5 |
| Hawthorn | 2 | −27 | 2107 | +0 | 8 | |
| Round 16 | Altona | 5 | +12 | 2048 | +0 | 9 |
| Mentone | 1 | −12 | 1664 | −1 | 13 | |
| Round 16 | Doncaster | 3 | +34 | 2351 | +0 | 3 |
| Camberwell | 2 | −34 | 2378 | +0 | 1 | |
| Round 16 | Southern United | 7 | +10 | 2311 | +0 | 4 |
| Essendon | 0 | −10 | 1886 | +0 | 11 | |
| Round 16 | Waverley | 2 | −23 | 2127 | −1 | 7 |
| MCC | 5 | +23 | 2393 | +1 | 1 | |
| Round 15 | Hawthorn | 2 | −20 | 2134 | +0 | 6 |
| Southern United | 3 | +20 | 2301 | +0 | 4 | |
| Round 15 | MCC | 6 | +9 | 2370 | +0 | 2 |
| Footscray | 1 | −9 | 1966 | +0 | 10 | |
| Round 15 | Essendon | 1 | −4 | 1896 | +0 | 11 |
| Camberwell | 3 | +4 | 2412 | +0 | 1 | |
| Round 15 | Greensborough | 7 | +72 | 2163 | +3 | 6 |
| Altona | 2 | −72 | 2036 | −1 | 9 | |
| Round 15 | Mentone | 0 | −4 | 1676 | +0 | 12 |
| KBH Brumbies | 3 | +4 | 2235 | +0 | 5 | |
| Round 15 | Waverley | 1 | +22 | 2150 | +1 | 7 |
| Doncaster | 1 | −22 | 2317 | +0 | 3 | |
| Round 14.1 | Footscray | 1 | −10 | 1975 | +0 | 10 |
| Camberwell | 5 | +10 | 2408 | +0 | 1 | |
| Round 14.1 | MCC | 6 | +36 | 2361 | +0 | 2 |
| Hawthorn | 1 | −36 | 2154 | +0 | 6 | |
| Round 14.1 | KBH Brumbies | 3 | −28 | 2231 | +0 | 5 |
| Doncaster | 4 | +28 | 2339 | +0 | 3 | |
| Round 14 | Footscray | 2 | +19 | 1985 | +0 | 10 |
| Waverley | 2 | −19 | 2128 | −1 | 8 | |
| Round 14 | KBH Brumbies | 4 | +24 | 2259 | +0 | 5 |
| Greensborough | 2 | −24 | 2091 | +0 | 9 | |
| Round 14 | Essendon | 0 | −11 | 1900 | +0 | 11 |
| Doncaster | 4 | +11 | 2311 | +0 | 2 | |
| Round 14 | Altona | 2 | −36 | 2108 | −1 | 8 |
| MCC | 5 | +36 | 2325 | +1 | 2 | |
| Round 14 | Camberwell | 5 | +23 | 2398 | +0 | 1 |
| Hawthorn | 2 | −23 | 2190 | +0 | 6 | |
| Round 14 | Southern United | 4 | +2 | 2281 | +0 | 4 |
| Mentone | 1 | −2 | 1680 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 13.1 | Altona | 2 | +16 | 2144 | +1 | 7 |
| Southern United | 2 | −16 | 2279 | −1 | 4 | |
| Round 13.1 | Waverley | 4 | +11 | 2147 | +1 | 7 |
| Essendon | 3 | −11 | 1911 | +0 | 11 | |
| Round 13.1 | Greensborough | 4 | +5 | 2115 | +0 | 9 |
| Mentone | 2 | −5 | 1682 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 13 | Footscray | 2 | −7 | 1966 | +0 | 10 |
| Doncaster | 3 | +7 | 2300 | +0 | 3 | |
| Round 13 | Hawthorn | 3 | +12 | 2213 | +0 | 5 |
| Essendon | 1 | −12 | 1922 | +0 | 11 | |
| Round 13 | MCC | 2 | −47 | 2289 | −1 | 3 |
| KBH Brumbies | 3 | +47 | 2235 | +1 | 5 | |
| Round 13 | Greensborough | 1 | −46 | 2110 | +0 | 8 |
| Southern United | 4 | +46 | 2295 | +1 | 3 | |
| Round 13 | Mentone | 2 | −2 | 1687 | +0 | 12 |
| Camberwell | 5 | +2 | 2375 | +0 | 1 | |
| Round 13 | Waverley | 3 | +34 | 2136 | +2 | 7 |
| Altona | 2 | −34 | 2128 | −1 | 8 | |
| Round 12 | KBH Brumbies | 5 | +22 | 2188 | +2 | 5 |
| Waverley | 4 | −22 | 2102 | +0 | 9 | |
| Round 12 | Altona | 6 | +23 | 2162 | +0 | 8 |
| Footscray | 4 | −23 | 1973 | +0 | 10 | |
| Round 12 | Camberwell | 1 | +10 | 2373 | +0 | 1 |
| Greensborough | 0 | −10 | 2156 | −1 | 8 | |
| Round 12 | Doncaster | 4 | −19 | 2293 | +0 | 3 |
| Hawthorn | 4 | +19 | 2201 | +1 | 5 | |
| Round 12 | Mentone | 2 | −11 | 1689 | +0 | 12 |
| Essendon | 3 | +11 | 1934 | +0 | 11 | |
| Round 12 | Southern United | 2 | +10 | 2249 | +0 | 4 |
| MCC | 2 | −10 | 2336 | +0 | 2 | |
| Round 11 | Hawthorn | 4 | +5 | 2182 | +0 | 5 |
| Mentone | 0 | −5 | 1700 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 11 | KBH Brumbies | 3 | +37 | 2166 | +1 | 7 |
| Footscray | 0 | −37 | 1996 | +0 | 10 | |
| Round 11 | Essendon | 1 | −26 | 1923 | +0 | 11 |
| Greensborough | 4 | +26 | 2166 | +1 | 7 | |
| Round 11 | Camberwell | 5 | +95 | 2363 | +3 | 1 |
| MCC | 1 | −95 | 2346 | −1 | 2 | |
| Round 11 | Doncaster | 3 | +32 | 2312 | +1 | 3 |
| Altona | 0 | −32 | 2139 | −2 | 8 | |
| Round 11 | Southern United | 1 | −52 | 2239 | +0 | 4 |
| Waverley | 2 | +52 | 2124 | +0 | 9 | |
| Round 10 | Footscray | 0 | −20 | 2033 | +0 | 10 |
| Southern United | 2 | +20 | 2291 | +1 | 2 | |
| Round 10 | MCC | 6 | +6 | 2441 | +0 | 1 |
| Essendon | 0 | −6 | 1949 | +0 | 11 | |
| Round 10 | Greensborough | 3 | +36 | 2140 | +0 | 7 |
| Hawthorn | 2 | −36 | 2177 | +0 | 6 | |
| Round 10 | Altona | 1 | −43 | 2171 | −1 | 6 |
| KBH Brumbies | 2 | +43 | 2129 | +1 | 8 | |
| Round 10 | Mentone | 2 | −3 | 1705 | +0 | 12 |
| Doncaster | 4 | +3 | 2280 | +0 | 3 | |
| Round 10 | Waverley | 1 | −16 | 2072 | +0 | 9 |
| Camberwell | 2 | +16 | 2268 | +0 | 4 | |
| Round 9 | Hawthorn | 3 | −15 | 2213 | −1 | 6 |
| MCC | 4 | +15 | 2435 | +0 | 1 | |
| Round 9 | Essendon | 3 | −20 | 1955 | +0 | 11 |
| Waverley | 4 | +20 | 2088 | +1 | 9 | |
| Round 9 | Camberwell | 4 | +26 | 2252 | +2 | 3 |
| Footscray | 1 | −26 | 2053 | +0 | 10 | |
| Round 9 | Doncaster | 3 | +12 | 2277 | +0 | 2 |
| KBH Brumbies | 2 | −12 | 2086 | −2 | 9 | |
| Round 9 | Mentone | 0 | −15 | 1708 | +0 | 12 |
| Greensborough | 7 | +15 | 2104 | +0 | 7 | |
| Round 9 | Southern United | 3 | +24 | 2271 | +1 | 3 |
| Altona | 2 | −24 | 2214 | +0 | 5 | |
| Round 8.1 | Footscray | 4 | +36 | 2079 | +0 | 9 |
| KBH Brumbies | 3 | −36 | 2098 | +0 | 7 | |
| Round 8.1 | MCC | 7 | +29 | 2420 | +0 | 1 |
| Camberwell | 4 | −29 | 2226 | −1 | 4 | |
| Round 8.1 | Altona | 3 | +35 | 2238 | +3 | 3 |
| Doncaster | 2 | −35 | 2265 | +0 | 2 | |
| Round 8.1 | Mentone | 0 | −8 | 1723 | +0 | 12 |
| Hawthorn | 6 | +8 | 2228 | +1 | 5 | |
| Round 8.1 | Waverley | 2 | −18 | 2068 | −1 | 9 |
| Southern United | 3 | +18 | 2247 | +1 | 3 | |
| Round 8.1 | Greensborough | 3 | +47 | 2089 | +2 | 8 |
| Essendon | 0 | −47 | 1975 | +0 | 11 | |
| Round 8 | Footscray | 2 | −41 | 2043 | −2 | 10 |
| Essendon | 3 | +41 | 2022 | +0 | 11 | |
| Round 8 | MCC | 8 | +2 | 2391 | +0 | 1 |
| Mentone | 1 | −2 | 1731 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 8 | KBH Brumbies | 2 | +10 | 2134 | +1 | 6 |
| Southern United | 2 | −10 | 2229 | −1 | 5 | |
| Round 8 | Greensborough | 1 | −39 | 2042 | −2 | 10 |
| Doncaster | 5 | +39 | 2300 | +0 | 3 | |
| Round 8 | Altona | 3 | +71 | 2203 | +1 | 6 |
| Camberwell | 1 | −71 | 2255 | −1 | 3 | |
| Round 8 | Waverley | 2 | +15 | 2086 | +0 | 8 |
| Hawthorn | 2 | −15 | 2220 | −1 | 5 | |
| Round 7 | Hawthorn | 4 | +37 | 2235 | +0 | 5 |
| Footscray | 1 | −37 | 2084 | −1 | 9 | |
| Round 7 | Essendon | 4 | +21 | 1981 | +0 | 11 |
| Altona | 4 | −21 | 2132 | −1 | 7 | |
| Round 7 | Greensborough | 3 | −18 | 2081 | −1 | 9 |
| MCC | 5 | +18 | 2389 | +0 | 1 | |
| Round 7 | Camberwell | 4 | +25 | 2326 | +0 | 2 |
| KBH Brumbies | 1 | −25 | 2124 | −1 | 7 | |
| Round 7 | Mentone | 3 | −16 | 1733 | +0 | 12 |
| Waverley | 6 | +16 | 2071 | +0 | 10 | |
| Round 7 | Southern United | 1 | −3 | 2239 | +0 | 4 |
| Doncaster | 1 | +3 | 2261 | +0 | 3 | |
| Round 6 | Footscray | 7 | +15 | 2121 | +1 | 7 |
| Mentone | 0 | −15 | 1749 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 6 | KBH Brumbies | 6 | +31 | 2149 | +1 | 7 |
| Essendon | 3 | −31 | 1960 | +0 | 11 | |
| Round 6 | Altona | 1 | +3 | 2153 | +0 | 6 |
| Hawthorn | 1 | −3 | 2198 | +0 | 5 | |
| Round 6 | Doncaster | 2 | −48 | 2258 | −1 | 3 |
| MCC | 4 | +48 | 2371 | +0 | 1 | |
| Round 6 | Southern United | 3 | −64 | 2242 | −2 | 4 |
| Camberwell | 5 | +64 | 2301 | +2 | 2 | |
| Round 6 | Waverley | 1 | −34 | 2055 | −1 | 10 |
| Greensborough | 2 | +34 | 2099 | +1 | 9 | |
| Round 5 | Hawthorn | 1 | −17 | 2201 | +0 | 5 |
| KBH Brumbies | 1 | +17 | 2118 | +0 | 8 | |
| Round 5 | MCC | 1 | −64 | 2323 | −1 | 2 |
| Waverley | 2 | +64 | 2089 | +1 | 9 | |
| Round 5 | Essendon | 4 | +32 | 1991 | +0 | 11 |
| Southern United | 4 | −32 | 2306 | −2 | 3 | |
| Round 5 | Greensborough | 2 | +33 | 2065 | +0 | 10 |
| Footscray | 1 | −33 | 2106 | −2 | 8 | |
| Round 5 | Camberwell | 3 | +4 | 2237 | +0 | 4 |
| Doncaster | 3 | −4 | 2306 | +0 | 2 | |
| Round 5 | Mentone | 2 | −19 | 1764 | +0 | 12 |
| Altona | 8 | +19 | 2150 | +0 | 6 | |
| Round 4 | Footscray | 2 | −13 | 2139 | +0 | 7 |
| MCC | 3 | +13 | 2387 | +0 | 1 | |
| Round 4 | KBH Brumbies | 9 | +22 | 2101 | +0 | 8 |
| Mentone | 2 | −22 | 1783 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 4 | Altona | 2 | −50 | 2131 | −1 | 7 |
| Greensborough | 3 | +50 | 2032 | +1 | 10 | |
| Round 4 | Camberwell | 6 | +24 | 2233 | +0 | 5 |
| Essendon | 1 | −24 | 1959 | +0 | 11 | |
| Round 4 | Doncaster | 4 | +16 | 2310 | +1 | 2 |
| Waverley | 1 | −16 | 2025 | −1 | 10 | |
| Round 4 | Southern United | 4 | +30 | 2338 | +1 | 2 |
| Hawthorn | 2 | −30 | 2218 | −1 | 5 | |
| Round 3 | Hawthorn | 5 | +72 | 2248 | +1 | 4 |
| Camberwell | 2 | −72 | 2209 | −1 | 5 | |
| Round 3 | MCC | 1 | −29 | 2374 | +0 | 1 |
| Altona | 1 | +29 | 2181 | +0 | 6 | |
| Round 3 | Greensborough | 2 | +6 | 1982 | +0 | 11 |
| KBH Brumbies | 2 | −6 | 2079 | +0 | 9 | |
| Round 3 | Doncaster | 2 | +7 | 2294 | +0 | 3 |
| Essendon | 1 | −7 | 1983 | +0 | 10 | |
| Round 3 | Mentone | 1 | −7 | 1805 | +0 | 12 |
| Southern United | 5 | +7 | 2308 | +0 | 2 | |
| Round 3 | Waverley | 3 | −48 | 2041 | −1 | 9 |
| Footscray | 5 | +48 | 2152 | +0 | 7 | |
| Round 2 | KBH Brumbies | 0 | −18 | 2085 | +0 | 9 |
| MCC | 3 | +18 | 2403 | +0 | 1 | |
| Round 2 | Essendon | 2 | −16 | 1990 | +0 | 10 |
| Hawthorn | 3 | +16 | 2176 | +0 | 5 | |
| Round 2 | Altona | 3 | +45 | 2152 | +2 | 6 |
| Waverley | 1 | −45 | 2089 | −2 | 8 | |
| Round 2 | Camberwell | 5 | +7 | 2281 | +0 | 3 |
| Mentone | 0 | −7 | 1812 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 2 | Doncaster | 3 | +24 | 2287 | +1 | 3 |
| Footscray | 1 | −24 | 2104 | +0 | 7 | |
| Round 2 | Southern United | 1 | +6 | 2301 | +0 | 2 |
| Greensborough | 0 | −6 | 1976 | +0 | 11 | |
| Round 1 | Footscray | 4 | −7 | 2128 | +0 | 7 |
| Altona | 4 | +7 | 2107 | +0 | 8 | |
| Round 1 | Hawthorn | 1 | −26 | 2160 | +0 | 5 |
| Doncaster | 2 | +26 | 2263 | +0 | 3 | |
| Round 1 | MCC | 5 | +65 | 2385 | +1 | 1 |
| Southern United | 1 | −65 | 2295 | −1 | 2 | |
| Round 1 | Essendon | 9 | +65 | 2006 | +0 | 11 |
| Mentone | 1 | −65 | 1819 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 1 | Greensborough | 0 | −46 | 1982 | −1 | 11 |
| Camberwell | 8 | +46 | 2274 | +1 | 3 | |
| Round 1 | Waverley | 2 | −10 | 2134 | +0 | 6 |
| KBH Brumbies | 2 | +10 | 2103 | +0 | 9 | |
| Round 0.2 | Hawthorn | 2 | −10 | 2186 | +0 | 5 |
| Waverley | 2 | +10 | 2144 | +0 | 6 | |
| Round 0.2 | Essendon | 1 | −26 | 1941 | +0 | 11 |
| Footscray | 3 | +26 | 2135 | +1 | 7 | |
| Round 0.2 | Camberwell | 3 | +32 | 2228 | +1 | 3 |
| Altona | 1 | −32 | 2100 | −1 | 9 | |
| Round 0.2 | Doncaster | 4 | +30 | 2237 | +1 | 3 |
| Greensborough | 1 | −30 | 2028 | +0 | 10 | |
| Round 0.2 | Southern United | 4 | +9 | 2360 | +0 | 1 |
| KBH Brumbies | 3 | −9 | 2093 | −1 | 9 | |
| Round 0.2 | Mentone | 0 | −12 | 1884 | +0 | 12 |
| MCC | 4 | +12 | 2320 | +0 | 2 | |
| Round 0.19 | Camberwell | 1 | −10 | 2196 | +0 | 3 |
| Waverley | 1 | +10 | 2134 | +2 | 6 | |
| Round 0.19 | Doncaster | 7 | +27 | 2207 | +1 | 3 |
| Mentone | 0 | −27 | 1896 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 0.19 | Essendon | 2 | −19 | 1967 | +0 | 11 |
| MCC | 7 | +19 | 2308 | +0 | 2 | |
| Round 0.19 | Hawthorn | 4 | +64 | 2196 | +3 | 5 |
| Greensborough | 0 | −64 | 2058 | −1 | 10 | |
| Round 0.19 | Southern United | 6 | +33 | 2351 | +0 | 1 |
| Footscray | 2 | −33 | 2109 | −2 | 8 | |
| Round 0.19 | KBH Brumbies | 1 | −31 | 2102 | −2 | 9 |
| Altona | 2 | +31 | 2132 | +2 | 7 | |
Played schedule and remaining games, ranked hardest to easiest
| Pos | Team | Games in hand | SoS (Played) | Avg Opponent Elo (Played) | SoS (Remaining) | Avg Opponent Elo (Remaining) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Altona | 0 | 42.6% opponent win rate | 2118 | — | — |
| — | Camberwell | 0 | 40.9% opponent win rate | 2147 | — | — |
| — | Doncaster | 0 | 39.9% opponent win rate | 2139 | — | — |
| — | Essendon | 0 | 44.6% opponent win rate | 2166 | — | — |
| — | Footscray | 0 | 43.8% opponent win rate | 2143 | — | — |
| — | Greensborough | 0 | 42.2% opponent win rate | 2136 | — | — |
| — | Hawthorn | 0 | 43.6% opponent win rate | 2150 | — | — |
| — | KBH Brumbies | 0 | 44.4% opponent win rate | 2167 | — | — |
| — | MCC | 0 | 40.8% opponent win rate | 2152 | — | — |
| — | Mentone | 0 | 45.9% opponent win rate | 2166 | — | — |
| — | Southern United | 0 | 41.4% opponent win rate | 2131 | — | — |
| — | Waverley | 0 | 42.6% opponent win rate | 2132 | — | — |
Opponent win rate is the displayed measure. SoS (Played) uses every completed game. SoS (Remaining) is the average current win rate of the opponents in every regular-season game still to play. Pos ranks remaining-schedule difficulty within the selected division.
Upcoming matches in Vic League 1, winning expectancies, and estimates of Elo points exchanged
Elo changes are for the team on each row; the opponent receives the opposite change. +1 to +4 are winning margins; 5+ is estimated using a five-goal win.
| Round | Match | Current | Three-way outcome probability | Elo points exchanged | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Rating | Team win | Draw | Draw | +1 | +2 | +3 | +4 | 5+ | ||
Vic League 1 season results
| Round | Match | Rating | Rank | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club | Score | Change | New | Change | Current | |
| Finals 3 | Geelong | 7 | +25 | 1771 | +0 | 12 |
| Craigieburn | 3 | −25 | 1549 | +0 | 16 | |
| Finals 2 | Geelong | 3 | +51 | 1746 | +2 | 12 |
| PEGS | 1 | −51 | 1736 | −1 | 13 | |
| Finals 2 | Old Xaverians | 0 | −53 | 1668 | +0 | 14 |
| Craigieburn | 1 | +53 | 1574 | +1 | 16 | |
| Finals 1 | Yarra | 5 | −65 | 1504 | −2 | 18 |
| Craigieburn | 7 | +65 | 1521 | +2 | 17 | |
| Finals 1 | PEGS | 2 | +10 | 1787 | +0 | 12 |
| TEM | 1 | −10 | 1547 | +0 | 16 | |
| Round 18 | TEM | 1 | −49 | 1557 | −2 | 18 |
| MUHC | 2 | +49 | 1465 | +1 | 19 | |
| Round 18 | Craigieburn | 2 | −129 | 1456 | −3 | 19 |
| WestVic | 6 | +129 | 1445 | +2 | 20 | |
| Round 18 | Geelong | 0 | −109 | 1695 | −2 | 14 |
| PEGS | 4 | +109 | 1777 | +2 | 12 | |
| Round 18 | Monash University | 2 | −22 | 1168 | +0 | 24 |
| Casey | 4 | +22 | 1392 | +0 | 22 | |
| Round 18 | North West Lightning | 2 | −14 | 1403 | +0 | 21 |
| Old Xaverians | 4 | +14 | 1721 | +0 | 13 | |
| Round 18 | Yarra | 5 | +11 | 1569 | +0 | 16 |
| ECHO | 0 | −11 | 1143 | +0 | 25 | |
| Round 17 | ECHO | 5 | −10 | 1154 | +0 | 25 |
| North West Lightning | 6 | +10 | 1417 | +1 | 20 | |
| Round 17 | Old Xaverians | 8 | +82 | 1707 | +3 | 13 |
| TEM | 2 | −82 | 1606 | −3 | 16 | |
| Round 17 | MUHC | 4 | −34 | 1416 | −1 | 20 |
| Craigieburn | 6 | +34 | 1585 | +0 | 18 | |
| Round 17 | Geelong | 9 | +3 | 1804 | +0 | 12 |
| Monash University | 0 | −3 | 1190 | +0 | 24 | |
| Round 17 | Yarra | 1 | −76 | 1558 | −3 | 18 |
| PEGS | 5 | +76 | 1668 | +3 | 14 | |
| Round 17 | WestVic | 1 | +41 | 1316 | +0 | 22 |
| Casey | 0 | −41 | 1370 | +0 | 21 | |
| Round 16 | TEM | 4 | +3 | 1688 | +0 | 13 |
| ECHO | 2 | −3 | 1164 | +0 | 24 | |
| Round 16 | Casey | 5 | +99 | 1411 | +1 | 21 |
| MUHC | 2 | −99 | 1450 | −1 | 19 | |
| Round 16 | Craigieburn | 1 | +7 | 1551 | +0 | 18 |
| Old Xaverians | 1 | −7 | 1625 | +0 | 15 | |
| Round 16 | Monash University | 2 | +45 | 1193 | +1 | 24 |
| WestVic | 1 | −45 | 1275 | +0 | 22 | |
| Round 16 | North West Lightning | 1 | −18 | 1407 | −1 | 21 |
| PEGS | 2 | +18 | 1592 | +0 | 17 | |
| Round 16 | Yarra | 1 | +22 | 1634 | +1 | 15 |
| Geelong | 1 | −22 | 1801 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 15 | ECHO | 1 | −12 | 1167 | +0 | 24 |
| Craigieburn | 4 | +12 | 1544 | +0 | 18 | |
| Round 15 | Old Xaverians | 4 | +11 | 1632 | +0 | 15 |
| Casey | 1 | −11 | 1312 | +0 | 22 | |
| Round 15 | MUHC | 2 | +18 | 1549 | +1 | 18 |
| WestVic | 0 | −18 | 1320 | +0 | 21 | |
| Round 15 | Geelong | 4 | +9 | 1823 | +0 | 12 |
| North West Lightning | 0 | −9 | 1425 | +0 | 20 | |
| Round 15 | PEGS | 0 | −109 | 1574 | −4 | 17 |
| TEM | 5 | +109 | 1685 | +4 | 13 | |
| Round 15 | Yarra | 5 | +7 | 1612 | +0 | 16 |
| Monash University | 2 | −7 | 1148 | +0 | 25 | |
| Round 14.1 | TEM | 2 | +10 | 1576 | +0 | 17 |
| Casey | 1 | −10 | 1323 | +0 | 22 | |
| Round 14.1 | Geelong | 2 | +21 | 1814 | +0 | 12 |
| Old Xaverians | 0 | −21 | 1621 | +0 | 16 | |
| Round 14.1 | Yarra | 1 | −44 | 1605 | −1 | 16 |
| MUHC | 2 | +44 | 1531 | +0 | 19 | |
| Round 14 | TEM | 1 | −37 | 1566 | −1 | 18 |
| Geelong | 5 | +37 | 1793 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 14 | Casey | 6 | +42 | 1333 | +0 | 21 |
| ECHO | 3 | −42 | 1179 | +0 | 24 | |
| Round 14 | Craigieburn | 3 | −37 | 1532 | −1 | 18 |
| PEGS | 5 | +37 | 1683 | +2 | 14 | |
| Round 14 | Monash University | 0 | −11 | 1155 | +0 | 25 |
| MUHC | 2 | +11 | 1487 | +0 | 19 | |
| Round 14 | North West Lightning | 2 | +23 | 1434 | +0 | 20 |
| Yarra | 2 | −23 | 1649 | −1 | 16 | |
| Round 14 | WestVic | 3 | +113 | 1338 | +2 | 21 |
| Old Xaverians | 1 | −113 | 1642 | −3 | 16 | |
| Round 13.1 | Craigieburn | 7 | +10 | 1569 | +0 | 18 |
| Monash University | 3 | −10 | 1166 | +0 | 25 | |
| Round 13.1 | North West Lightning | 1 | +13 | 1411 | +0 | 20 |
| WestVic | 0 | −13 | 1225 | −1 | 24 | |
| Round 13.1 | PEGS | 6 | +10 | 1646 | +0 | 16 |
| ECHO | 0 | −10 | 1221 | −1 | 24 | |
| Round 13 | ECHO | 4 | +34 | 1231 | +0 | 24 |
| WestVic | 3 | −34 | 1238 | −1 | 23 | |
| Round 13 | Old Xaverians | 5 | +22 | 1755 | +0 | 12 |
| MUHC | 0 | −22 | 1476 | +0 | 19 | |
| Round 13 | Geelong | 6 | +30 | 1756 | +1 | 12 |
| Craigieburn | 3 | −30 | 1559 | +0 | 17 | |
| Round 13 | North West Lightning | 3 | +19 | 1398 | +0 | 20 |
| Monash University | 1 | −19 | 1176 | +0 | 25 | |
| Round 13 | PEGS | 6 | +12 | 1636 | +0 | 16 |
| Casey | 3 | −12 | 1291 | +0 | 21 | |
| Round 13 | Yarra | 1 | −44 | 1672 | +0 | 14 |
| TEM | 2 | +44 | 1603 | +1 | 17 | |
| Round 12.1 | PEGS | 3 | +7 | 1624 | +0 | 16 |
| Monash University | 0 | −7 | 1195 | −1 | 25 | |
| Round 12 | TEM | 3 | +16 | 1559 | +0 | 18 |
| North West Lightning | 2 | −16 | 1379 | +0 | 20 | |
| Round 12 | MUHC | 6 | +21 | 1498 | +0 | 19 |
| ECHO | 1 | −21 | 1197 | +0 | 24 | |
| Round 12 | Casey | 0 | −15 | 1303 | +0 | 21 |
| Geelong | 8 | +15 | 1726 | +0 | 13 | |
| Round 12 | Craigieburn | 2 | −23 | 1589 | −1 | 17 |
| Yarra | 3 | +23 | 1716 | +0 | 14 | |
| Round 12 | Monash University | 2 | +39 | 1202 | +1 | 24 |
| Old Xaverians | 2 | −39 | 1733 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 12 | WestVic | 2 | −21 | 1272 | +0 | 22 |
| PEGS | 8 | +21 | 1617 | +0 | 16 | |
| Round 11 | Old Xaverians | 9 | +4 | 1772 | +0 | 12 |
| ECHO | 1 | −4 | 1218 | +0 | 24 | |
| Round 11 | MUHC | 0 | −25 | 1477 | +0 | 19 |
| PEGS | 1 | +25 | 1596 | +0 | 16 | |
| Round 11 | Casey | 0 | −14 | 1318 | +0 | 21 |
| Yarra | 3 | +14 | 1693 | +0 | 14 | |
| Round 11 | Craigieburn | 7 | +47 | 1612 | +1 | 16 |
| North West Lightning | 1 | −47 | 1395 | +0 | 20 | |
| Round 11 | Monash University | 2 | −13 | 1163 | +0 | 25 |
| TEM | 6 | +13 | 1543 | +0 | 18 | |
| Round 11 | WestVic | 0 | −12 | 1293 | +0 | 22 |
| Geelong | 5 | +12 | 1711 | +0 | 13 | |
| Round 10 | TEM | 2 | −31 | 1530 | −1 | 18 |
| Craigieburn | 3 | +31 | 1565 | +1 | 17 | |
| Round 10 | ECHO | 3 | +51 | 1222 | +1 | 24 |
| Monash University | 1 | −51 | 1176 | −1 | 25 | |
| Round 10 | Geelong | 2 | +14 | 1699 | +0 | 13 |
| MUHC | 1 | −14 | 1502 | +0 | 19 | |
| Round 10 | North West Lightning | 6 | +69 | 1442 | +1 | 20 |
| Casey | 2 | −69 | 1332 | −1 | 21 | |
| Round 10 | PEGS | 1 | −30 | 1571 | +0 | 16 |
| Old Xaverians | 3 | +30 | 1768 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 10 | Yarra | 8 | +17 | 1679 | +0 | 14 |
| WestVic | 2 | −17 | 1305 | +0 | 22 | |
| Round 9 | ECHO | 4 | +74 | 1171 | +2 | 25 |
| PEGS | 3 | −74 | 1601 | −3 | 16 | |
| Round 9 | Old Xaverians | 1 | −14 | 1738 | +0 | 12 |
| Geelong | 1 | +14 | 1685 | +0 | 13 | |
| Round 9 | MUHC | 1 | −23 | 1516 | −2 | 19 |
| Yarra | 2 | +23 | 1662 | +1 | 14 | |
| Round 9 | Casey | 1 | −22 | 1401 | +0 | 20 |
| TEM | 2 | +22 | 1561 | +0 | 17 | |
| Round 9 | Monash University | 2 | −8 | 1227 | +0 | 24 |
| Craigieburn | 3 | +8 | 1534 | +0 | 18 | |
| Round 9 | WestVic | 3 | +5 | 1322 | +0 | 22 |
| North West Lightning | 3 | −5 | 1373 | +0 | 21 | |
| Round 8.1 | TEM | 7 | +28 | 1539 | +0 | 19 |
| Monash University | 0 | −28 | 1235 | −1 | 24 | |
| Round 8.1 | ECHO | 1 | −3 | 1097 | +0 | 27 |
| Old Xaverians | 5 | +3 | 1752 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 8.1 | Geelong | 3 | +10 | 1671 | +0 | 13 |
| WestVic | 1 | −10 | 1317 | +0 | 22 | |
| Round 8.1 | North West Lightning | 5 | +19 | 1378 | +0 | 21 |
| Craigieburn | 5 | −19 | 1526 | −1 | 19 | |
| Round 8.1 | PEGS | 3 | +46 | 1675 | +2 | 13 |
| MUHC | 0 | −46 | 1539 | +0 | 17 | |
| Round 8.1 | Yarra | 4 | +39 | 1639 | +0 | 16 |
| Casey | 0 | −39 | 1423 | +0 | 20 | |
| Round 8 | TEM | 6 | +48 | 1511 | +0 | 19 |
| WestVic | 2 | −48 | 1327 | −1 | 22 | |
| Round 8 | Craigieburn | 1 | −84 | 1545 | −3 | 18 |
| Casey | 3 | +84 | 1462 | +0 | 20 | |
| Round 8 | Geelong | 13 | +5 | 1661 | +0 | 13 |
| ECHO | 0 | −5 | 1100 | +0 | 27 | |
| Round 8 | North West Lightning | 3 | −14 | 1359 | +0 | 21 |
| MUHC | 4 | +14 | 1585 | +1 | 16 | |
| Round 8 | Yarra | 3 | +20 | 1600 | +1 | 16 |
| Old Xaverians | 3 | −20 | 1749 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 7 | ECHO | 1 | −4 | 1105 | +0 | 27 |
| Yarra | 2 | +4 | 1580 | +0 | 18 | |
| Round 7 | Old Xaverians | 3 | +6 | 1769 | +0 | 12 |
| North West Lightning | 1 | −6 | 1373 | +0 | 21 | |
| Round 7 | MUHC | 2 | −53 | 1571 | −2 | 18 |
| TEM | 3 | +53 | 1463 | +1 | 19 | |
| Round 7 | Casey | 6 | +55 | 1378 | +1 | 21 |
| Monash University | 2 | −55 | 1263 | +0 | 23 | |
| Round 7 | PEGS | 2 | +0 | 1629 | +0 | 15 |
| Geelong | 2 | +0 | 1656 | +0 | 13 | |
| Round 7 | WestVic | 2 | −36 | 1375 | −1 | 21 |
| Craigieburn | 6 | +36 | 1629 | +1 | 15 | |
| Round 6 | TEM | 2 | −6 | 1410 | +0 | 19 |
| Old Xaverians | 3 | +6 | 1763 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 6 | Casey | 2 | −31 | 1323 | −1 | 23 |
| WestVic | 3 | +31 | 1411 | +1 | 19 | |
| Round 6 | Craigieburn | 3 | +38 | 1593 | +0 | 18 |
| MUHC | 2 | −38 | 1624 | −2 | 15 | |
| Round 6 | Monash University | 0 | −20 | 1318 | −1 | 23 |
| Geelong | 5 | +20 | 1656 | +1 | 13 | |
| Round 6 | North West Lightning | 4 | +9 | 1379 | +0 | 21 |
| ECHO | 3 | −9 | 1109 | −2 | 27 | |
| Round 6 | Yarra | 2 | −29 | 1576 | −2 | 18 |
| PEGS | 3 | +29 | 1629 | +2 | 15 | |
| Round 5 | ECHO | 2 | −18 | 1118 | +0 | 25 |
| TEM | 4 | +18 | 1416 | +1 | 19 | |
| Round 5 | Old Xaverians | 5 | +25 | 1757 | +0 | 12 |
| Craigieburn | 2 | −25 | 1555 | −1 | 17 | |
| Round 5 | MUHC | 3 | +6 | 1662 | +0 | 14 |
| Casey | 2 | −6 | 1354 | +0 | 22 | |
| Round 5 | Geelong | 0 | −72 | 1636 | −2 | 15 |
| Yarra | 2 | +72 | 1605 | +2 | 16 | |
| Round 5 | PEGS | 7 | +40 | 1600 | +0 | 17 |
| North West Lightning | 0 | −40 | 1370 | −1 | 21 | |
| Round 5 | WestVic | 4 | +53 | 1380 | +3 | 20 |
| Monash University | 2 | −53 | 1338 | −3 | 23 | |
| Round 4 | TEM | 1 | −55 | 1398 | −2 | 21 |
| PEGS | 5 | +55 | 1560 | +0 | 17 | |
| Round 4 | Casey | 2 | −13 | 1360 | +0 | 22 |
| Old Xaverians | 4 | +13 | 1732 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 4 | Craigieburn | 8 | +11 | 1580 | +0 | 16 |
| ECHO | 2 | −11 | 1136 | +0 | 25 | |
| Round 4 | Monash University | 1 | −35 | 1391 | −1 | 21 |
| Yarra | 3 | +35 | 1533 | +0 | 18 | |
| Round 4 | North West Lightning | 2 | −20 | 1410 | +0 | 19 |
| Geelong | 5 | +20 | 1708 | +0 | 13 | |
| Round 4 | WestVic | 1 | −20 | 1327 | +0 | 23 |
| MUHC | 5 | +20 | 1656 | +1 | 14 | |
| Round 3 | ECHO | 0 | +24 | 1147 | +0 | 25 |
| Casey | 0 | −24 | 1373 | −1 | 22 | |
| Round 3 | Old Xaverians | 5 | +11 | 1719 | +0 | 12 |
| WestVic | 1 | −11 | 1347 | +0 | 23 | |
| Round 3 | MUHC | 1 | −30 | 1636 | −2 | 15 |
| Monash University | 1 | +30 | 1426 | +0 | 21 | |
| Round 3 | Yarra | 3 | +27 | 1498 | +2 | 17 |
| North West Lightning | 2 | −27 | 1430 | +0 | 20 | |
| Round 3 | Geelong | 4 | +34 | 1688 | +0 | 13 |
| TEM | 0 | −34 | 1453 | +0 | 19 | |
| Round 3 | PEGS | 1 | −80 | 1505 | −1 | 17 |
| Craigieburn | 4 | +80 | 1569 | +2 | 16 | |
| Round 2 | TEM | 2 | −37 | 1487 | +0 | 17 |
| Yarra | 3 | +37 | 1471 | +3 | 18 | |
| Round 2 | MUHC | 2 | −38 | 1666 | −2 | 14 |
| Old Xaverians | 3 | +38 | 1708 | +2 | 12 | |
| Round 2 | Casey | 0 | −37 | 1397 | +0 | 21 |
| PEGS | 2 | +37 | 1585 | +0 | 16 | |
| Round 2 | Craigieburn | 4 | +21 | 1489 | +2 | 17 |
| Geelong | 4 | −21 | 1654 | −1 | 14 | |
| Round 2 | Monash University | 1 | +8 | 1396 | +0 | 22 |
| North West Lightning | 1 | −8 | 1457 | +0 | 20 | |
| Round 2 | WestVic | 5 | +39 | 1358 | +0 | 23 |
| ECHO | 0 | −39 | 1123 | +0 | 25 | |
| Round 1 | ECHO | 3 | −4 | 1162 | +0 | 25 |
| MUHC | 5 | +4 | 1704 | +0 | 12 | |
| Round 1 | Old Xaverians | 2 | +13 | 1670 | +0 | 13 |
| Monash University | 0 | −13 | 1388 | +0 | 21 | |
| Round 1 | Yarra | 1 | −59 | 1434 | −2 | 20 |
| Craigieburn | 3 | +59 | 1468 | +2 | 18 | |
| Round 1 | Geelong | 5 | +26 | 1675 | +2 | 13 |
| Casey | 2 | −26 | 1434 | +0 | 19 | |
| Round 1 | North West Lightning | 6 | +106 | 1465 | +3 | 19 |
| TEM | 3 | −106 | 1524 | +0 | 16 | |
| Round 1 | PEGS | 8 | +39 | 1548 | +1 | 16 |
| WestVic | 1 | −39 | 1319 | +0 | 23 | |
| Round 0.2 | Casey | 5 | +74 | 1460 | +1 | 19 |
| Craigieburn | 1 | −74 | 1409 | −1 | 20 | |
| Round 0.2 | ECHO | 1 | −11 | 1166 | +0 | 25 |
| Geelong | 8 | +11 | 1649 | +1 | 14 | |
| Round 0.2 | Old Xaverians | 1 | +14 | 1657 | +2 | 13 |
| Yarra | 0 | −14 | 1493 | +0 | 18 | |
| Round 0.2 | MUHC | 3 | +7 | 1700 | +0 | 12 |
| North West Lightning | 1 | −7 | 1359 | +0 | 22 | |
| Round 0.2 | Monash University | 1 | +48 | 1401 | +2 | 21 |
| PEGS | 0 | −48 | 1509 | +0 | 17 | |
| Round 0.2 | WestVic | 1 | −18 | 1358 | −1 | 23 |
| TEM | 3 | +18 | 1630 | +0 | 16 | |
| Round 0.19 | Casey | 2 | +33 | 1386 | +1 | 21 |
| North West Lightning | 1 | −33 | 1366 | −2 | 22 | |
| Round 0.19 | Craigieburn | 3 | +18 | 1483 | +0 | 19 |
| TEM | 3 | −18 | 1612 | +0 | 16 | |
| Round 0.19 | Monash University | 5 | +40 | 1353 | +0 | 23 |
| ECHO | 2 | −40 | 1177 | +0 | 25 | |
| Round 0.19 | MUHC | 2 | +22 | 1693 | +0 | 12 |
| Geelong | 1 | −22 | 1638 | −2 | 15 | |
| Round 0.19 | Old Xaverians | 1 | −13 | 1643 | −1 | 14 |
| PEGS | 1 | +13 | 1557 | +0 | 17 | |
| Round 0.19 | WestVic | 2 | −20 | 1376 | −1 | 21 |
| Yarra | 3 | +20 | 1507 | +0 | 18 | |
Played schedule and remaining games, ranked hardest to easiest
| Pos | Team | Games in hand | SoS (Played) | Avg Opponent Elo (Played) | SoS (Remaining) | Avg Opponent Elo (Remaining) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Casey | 0 | 45.0% opponent win rate | 1493 | — | — |
| — | Craigieburn | 0 | 45.7% opponent win rate | 1502 | — | — |
| — | ECHO | 0 | 46.7% opponent win rate | 1510 | — | — |
| — | Geelong | 0 | 43.0% opponent win rate | 1484 | — | — |
| — | Monash University | 0 | 46.7% opponent win rate | 1499 | — | — |
| — | MUHC | 0 | 43.4% opponent win rate | 1473 | — | — |
| — | North West Lightning | 0 | 45.4% opponent win rate | 1499 | — | — |
| — | Old Xaverians | 0 | 42.4% opponent win rate | 1461 | — | — |
| — | PEGS | 0 | 43.5% opponent win rate | 1484 | — | — |
| — | TEM | 0 | 44.2% opponent win rate | 1476 | — | — |
| — | WestVic | 0 | 45.4% opponent win rate | 1497 | — | — |
| — | Yarra | 0 | 43.2% opponent win rate | 1476 | — | — |
Opponent win rate is the displayed measure. SoS (Played) uses every completed game. SoS (Remaining) is the average current win rate of the opponents in every regular-season game still to play. Pos ranks remaining-schedule difficulty within the selected division.
Upcoming matches in Vic League 2, winning expectancies, and estimates of Elo points exchanged
Elo changes are for the team on each row; the opponent receives the opposite change. +1 to +4 are winning margins; 5+ is estimated using a five-goal win.
| Round | Match | Current | Three-way outcome probability | Elo points exchanged | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Rating | Team win | Draw | Draw | +1 | +2 | +3 | +4 | 5+ | ||
Vic League 2 season results
| Round | Match | Rating | Rank | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club | Score | Change | New | Change | Current | |
| Finals 3 | GD Warriors | 1 | −48 | 1159 | −1 | 25 |
| Brunswick | 3 | +48 | 1294 | +0 | 23 | |
| Finals 2 | Bayside/Powerhouse | 0 | −37 | 1081 | −2 | 29 |
| Brunswick | 2 | +37 | 1246 | +0 | 23 | |
| Finals 1 | St Bede's | 0 | −89 | 1099 | −6 | 29 |
| Brunswick | 4 | +89 | 1209 | +5 | 23 | |
| Finals 1 | GD Warriors | 8 | +59 | 1207 | +2 | 24 |
| Bayside/Powerhouse | 4 | −59 | 1118 | −3 | 27 | |
| Round 18 | Bayside/Powerhouse | 3 | −5 | 1177 | +0 | 25 |
| St Bede's | 3 | +5 | 1188 | +0 | 24 | |
| Round 18 | Frankston | 4 | +9 | 985 | +0 | 30 |
| Caroline Springs | 3 | −9 | 721 | +0 | 36 | |
| Round 18 | Knox | 3 | +57 | 944 | +0 | 32 |
| GD Warriors | 2 | −57 | 1148 | −4 | 27 | |
| Round 18 | MHSOB | 2 | +34 | 775 | +0 | 35 |
| Brunswick | 2 | −34 | 1120 | −2 | 28 | |
| Round 17 | Knox | 3 | −15 | 887 | +0 | 32 |
| Bayside/Powerhouse | 5 | +15 | 1182 | +3 | 24 | |
| Round 17 | Brunswick | 1 | −35 | 1154 | −4 | 27 |
| GD Warriors | 2 | +35 | 1205 | +3 | 23 | |
| Round 17 | St Bede's | 3 | +12 | 1183 | +1 | 24 |
| Frankston | 2 | −12 | 976 | +0 | 30 | |
| Round 17 | Werribee | 5 | +12 | 954 | +0 | 31 |
| MHSOB | 4 | −12 | 741 | +0 | 35 | |
| Round 16 | Caroline Springs | 2 | −4 | 730 | +0 | 36 |
| St Bede's | 3 | +4 | 1171 | +1 | 25 | |
| Round 16 | Bayside/Powerhouse | 1 | −4 | 1167 | −2 | 26 |
| Brunswick | 1 | +4 | 1189 | +0 | 23 | |
| Round 16 | Frankston | 3 | +23 | 988 | +0 | 30 |
| Knox | 2 | −23 | 902 | +0 | 32 | |
| Round 16 | GD Warriors | 3 | +20 | 1170 | +2 | 25 |
| Werribee | 0 | −20 | 942 | +0 | 31 | |
| Round 15 | MHSOB | 2 | −38 | 753 | +0 | 35 |
| Caroline Springs | 3 | +38 | 734 | +0 | 36 | |
| Round 15 | Knox | 1 | −12 | 925 | +0 | 32 |
| St Bede's | 2 | +12 | 1167 | +1 | 24 | |
| Round 15 | Brunswick | 4 | +30 | 1185 | +2 | 23 |
| Frankston | 0 | −30 | 965 | +0 | 31 | |
| Round 15 | Werribee | 2 | −51 | 962 | −1 | 31 |
| Bayside/Powerhouse | 6 | +51 | 1171 | +4 | 24 | |
| Round 14 | Caroline Springs | 2 | −12 | 696 | +0 | 36 |
| Knox | 3 | +12 | 937 | +0 | 32 | |
| Round 14 | Frankston | 1 | +37 | 995 | +0 | 31 |
| Werribee | 0 | −37 | 1013 | +0 | 30 | |
| Round 14 | GD Warriors | 7 | +13 | 1150 | +1 | 26 |
| MHSOB | 0 | −13 | 791 | −1 | 35 | |
| Round 14 | St Bede's | 1 | −4 | 1155 | −1 | 25 |
| Brunswick | 1 | +4 | 1155 | +1 | 24 | |
| Round 13 | MHSOB | 1 | −8 | 804 | −1 | 34 |
| Bayside/Powerhouse | 2 | +8 | 1120 | +0 | 28 | |
| Round 13 | Brunswick | 3 | +17 | 1151 | +1 | 24 |
| Knox | 1 | −17 | 925 | +0 | 32 | |
| Round 13 | GD Warriors | 5 | +7 | 1137 | +1 | 26 |
| Caroline Springs | 0 | −7 | 708 | +0 | 36 | |
| Round 13 | Werribee | 2 | −28 | 1050 | +0 | 30 |
| St Bede's | 3 | +28 | 1159 | +3 | 24 | |
| Round 12 | Caroline Springs | 0 | −13 | 715 | +0 | 36 |
| Brunswick | 7 | +13 | 1134 | +1 | 26 | |
| Round 12 | Bayside/Powerhouse | 3 | +59 | 1112 | +2 | 28 |
| GD Warriors | 1 | −59 | 1130 | −4 | 27 | |
| Round 12 | Knox | 1 | −21 | 942 | +0 | 32 |
| Werribee | 2 | +21 | 1078 | +0 | 30 | |
| Round 12 | Frankston | 3 | −52 | 958 | +0 | 31 |
| MHSOB | 4 | +52 | 812 | +2 | 33 | |
| Round 11 | Bayside/Powerhouse | 2 | −70 | 1053 | −3 | 30 |
| Caroline Springs | 3 | +70 | 728 | +1 | 36 | |
| Round 11 | MHSOB | 0 | −5 | 760 | +0 | 35 |
| St Bede's | 1 | +5 | 1131 | +0 | 26 | |
| Round 11 | GD Warriors | 3 | +12 | 1189 | +0 | 23 |
| Frankston | 2 | −12 | 1010 | +0 | 31 | |
| Round 11 | Werribee | 2 | +1 | 1057 | +0 | 29 |
| Brunswick | 2 | −1 | 1121 | +0 | 27 | |
| Round 10 | Caroline Springs | 2 | −13 | 658 | +0 | 37 |
| Werribee | 6 | +13 | 1056 | +0 | 30 | |
| Round 10 | Knox | 8 | +57 | 963 | +1 | 31 |
| MHSOB | 2 | −57 | 765 | −2 | 35 | |
| Round 10 | Frankston | 3 | +84 | 1022 | +1 | 31 |
| Bayside/Powerhouse | 1 | −84 | 1123 | −2 | 26 | |
| Round 10 | St Bede's | 3 | +39 | 1126 | +3 | 26 |
| GD Warriors | 2 | −39 | 1177 | +0 | 23 | |
| Round 9 | Caroline Springs | 1 | −33 | 671 | −1 | 37 |
| Frankston | 5 | +33 | 938 | +1 | 31 | |
| Round 9 | Brunswick | 11 | +22 | 1122 | +2 | 27 |
| MHSOB | 0 | −22 | 822 | +0 | 33 | |
| Round 9 | GD Warriors | 1 | +6 | 1216 | +0 | 23 |
| Knox | 0 | −6 | 906 | +0 | 32 | |
| Round 9 | St Bede's | 1 | −24 | 1087 | −1 | 29 |
| Bayside/Powerhouse | 2 | +24 | 1207 | +0 | 24 | |
| Round 8 | Bayside/Powerhouse | 4 | +13 | 1183 | +0 | 23 |
| Knox | 2 | −13 | 912 | +0 | 32 | |
| Round 8 | MHSOB | 3 | −35 | 844 | +0 | 33 |
| Werribee | 6 | +35 | 1043 | +0 | 30 | |
| Round 8 | Frankston | 2 | −36 | 905 | −1 | 32 |
| St Bede's | 5 | +36 | 1111 | +1 | 28 | |
| Round 8 | GD Warriors | 5 | +52 | 1210 | +2 | 23 |
| Brunswick | 1 | −52 | 1100 | −3 | 29 | |
| Round 7 | Knox | 2 | +2 | 925 | +0 | 32 |
| Frankston | 2 | −2 | 941 | +0 | 31 | |
| Round 7 | Brunswick | 3 | −37 | 1152 | −2 | 25 |
| Bayside/Powerhouse | 4 | +37 | 1170 | +3 | 23 | |
| Round 7 | St Bede's | 5 | +14 | 1075 | +0 | 29 |
| Caroline Springs | 0 | −14 | 704 | +0 | 36 | |
| Round 7 | Werribee | 2 | −45 | 1008 | +0 | 30 |
| GD Warriors | 4 | +45 | 1158 | +2 | 25 | |
| Round 6 | Caroline Springs | 3 | −38 | 718 | +0 | 36 |
| MHSOB | 5 | +38 | 879 | +0 | 33 | |
| Round 6 | Bayside/Powerhouse | 1 | +22 | 1133 | +1 | 26 |
| Werribee | 0 | −22 | 1053 | +0 | 30 | |
| Round 6 | Frankston | 1 | −28 | 943 | +0 | 31 |
| Brunswick | 4 | +28 | 1189 | +1 | 23 | |
| Round 6 | St Bede's | 1 | −22 | 1061 | +0 | 29 |
| Knox | 1 | +22 | 923 | +0 | 32 | |
| Round 5 | MHSOB | 4 | +30 | 841 | +0 | 33 |
| GD Warriors | 4 | −30 | 1113 | +0 | 26 | |
| Round 5 | Knox | 3 | +34 | 901 | +0 | 32 |
| Caroline Springs | 1 | −34 | 756 | +0 | 36 | |
| Round 5 | Brunswick | 3 | −16 | 1161 | −1 | 24 |
| St Bede's | 3 | +16 | 1083 | +0 | 29 | |
| Round 5 | Werribee | 2 | +17 | 1075 | +0 | 30 |
| Frankston | 1 | −17 | 971 | +0 | 31 | |
| Round 4 | Caroline Springs | 3 | −7 | 790 | −1 | 36 |
| GD Warriors | 4 | +7 | 1143 | +0 | 27 | |
| Round 4 | Bayside/Powerhouse | 4 | +15 | 1111 | +1 | 28 |
| MHSOB | 1 | −15 | 811 | +0 | 33 | |
| Round 4 | Knox | 2 | −18 | 867 | +0 | 32 |
| Brunswick | 5 | +18 | 1177 | +1 | 24 | |
| Round 4 | St Bede's | 7 | +132 | 1067 | +2 | 29 |
| Werribee | 2 | −132 | 1058 | −7 | 30 | |
| Round 3 | MHSOB | 1 | −74 | 826 | −1 | 33 |
| Frankston | 6 | +74 | 988 | +1 | 30 | |
| Round 3 | Brunswick | 4 | +5 | 1159 | +0 | 25 |
| Caroline Springs | 3 | −5 | 797 | +0 | 35 | |
| Round 3 | GD Warriors | 2 | +44 | 1136 | +2 | 27 |
| Bayside/Powerhouse | 0 | −44 | 1096 | −2 | 29 | |
| Round 3 | Werribee | 3 | +12 | 1190 | +0 | 23 |
| Knox | 0 | −12 | 885 | +0 | 32 | |
| Round 2 | Caroline Springs | 2 | −9 | 802 | −1 | 35 |
| Bayside/Powerhouse | 3 | +9 | 1140 | +0 | 26 | |
| Round 2 | Brunswick | 4 | +65 | 1154 | +3 | 25 |
| Werribee | 2 | −65 | 1178 | +0 | 23 | |
| Round 2 | Frankston | 0 | −31 | 914 | +0 | 31 |
| GD Warriors | 2 | +31 | 1092 | +0 | 29 | |
| Round 2 | St Bede's | 4 | +77 | 935 | +3 | 30 |
| MHSOB | 1 | −77 | 900 | −2 | 32 | |
| Round 1 | Bayside/Powerhouse | 3 | +16 | 1131 | +0 | 26 |
| Frankston | 2 | −16 | 945 | +0 | 31 | |
| Round 1 | MHSOB | 2 | −48 | 977 | +0 | 30 |
| Knox | 3 | +48 | 897 | +1 | 32 | |
| Round 1 | GD Warriors | 6 | +26 | 1061 | +0 | 29 |
| St Bede's | 3 | −26 | 858 | +0 | 33 | |
| Round 1 | Werribee | 5 | +3 | 1243 | +0 | 23 |
| Caroline Springs | 4 | −3 | 811 | +0 | 34 | |
Played schedule and remaining games, ranked hardest to easiest
| Pos | Team | Games in hand | SoS (Played) | Avg Opponent Elo (Played) | SoS (Remaining) | Avg Opponent Elo (Remaining) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Bayside/Powerhouse | 0 | 43.5% opponent win rate | 1013 | — | — |
| — | Brunswick | 0 | 44.8% opponent win rate | 1030 | — | — |
| — | Caroline Springs | 0 | 46.9% opponent win rate | 1038 | — | — |
| — | Frankston | 0 | 43.8% opponent win rate | 1011 | — | — |
| — | GD Warriors | 0 | 41.6% opponent win rate | 991 | — | — |
| — | Knox | 0 | 44.5% opponent win rate | 1048 | — | — |
| — | MHSOB | 0 | 46.9% opponent win rate | 988 | — | — |
| — | St Bede's | 0 | 42.1% opponent win rate | 1017 | — | — |
| — | Werribee | 0 | 43.0% opponent win rate | 981 | — | — |
Opponent win rate is the displayed measure. SoS (Played) uses every completed game. SoS (Remaining) is the average current win rate of the opponents in every regular-season game still to play. Pos ranks remaining-schedule difficulty within the selected division.
Upcoming matches in Vic League 3, winning expectancies, and estimates of Elo points exchanged
Elo changes are for the team on each row; the opponent receives the opposite change. +1 to +4 are winning margins; 5+ is estimated using a five-goal win.
| Round | Match | Current | Three-way outcome probability | Elo points exchanged | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Rating | Team win | Draw | Draw | +1 | +2 | +3 | +4 | 5+ | ||
Vic League 3 season results
| Round | Match | Rating | Rank | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club | Score | Change | New | Change | Current | |
| Finals 3 | Gippsland Strikers | 5 | +15 | 1080 | +0 | 29 |
| La Trobe University | 4 | −15 | 947 | −1 | 32 | |
| Finals 2 | La Trobe University | 3 | +62 | 962 | +3 | 31 |
| Melton | 0 | −62 | 909 | −3 | 34 | |
| Finals 1 | Gippsland Strikers | 3 | +13 | 1065 | +0 | 29 |
| La Trobe University | 2 | −13 | 900 | +0 | 34 | |
| Finals 1 | Melton | 4 | +26 | 971 | +1 | 31 |
| RMIT | 0 | −26 | 757 | −1 | 36 | |
| Round 18 | Melton | 3 | +2 | 945 | +1 | 32 |
| Melbourne Razorbacks | 2 | −2 | 478 | +0 | 41 | |
| Round 18 | Melbourne Sikhs | 3 | −14 | 638 | +0 | 39 |
| Gippsland Strikers | 10 | +14 | 1052 | +0 | 29 | |
| Round 18 | La Trobe University | 6 | +6 | 913 | +0 | 34 |
| Hume | 0 | −6 | 407 | +0 | 42 | |
| Round 18 | Old Trinity | 10 | +9 | 681 | +0 | 38 |
| East Gippsland | 0 | −9 | 235 | +0 | 43 | |
| Round 18 | RMIT | 9 | +27 | 783 | +1 | 35 |
| Croydon | 0 | −27 | 502 | +0 | 40 | |
| Round 17 | Gippsland Strikers | 7 | +12 | 1038 | +0 | 29 |
| Old Trinity | 1 | −12 | 672 | +0 | 39 | |
| Round 17 | Croydon | 0 | −17 | 529 | +0 | 40 |
| La Trobe University | 6 | +17 | 907 | +0 | 34 | |
| Round 17 | East Gippsland | 0 | −7 | 244 | +0 | 43 |
| RMIT | 8 | +7 | 756 | +0 | 36 | |
| Round 17 | Hume | 2 | −6 | 413 | +0 | 42 |
| Melton | 7 | +6 | 943 | +0 | 33 | |
| Round 17 | Melbourne Razorbacks | 4 | +54 | 480 | +0 | 41 |
| Melbourne Sikhs | 3 | −54 | 652 | −1 | 39 | |
| Round 16 | Melton | 2 | +42 | 937 | +1 | 33 |
| La Trobe University | 0 | −42 | 890 | −1 | 34 | |
| Round 16 | Melbourne Sikhs | 5 | +8 | 706 | +0 | 39 |
| Hume | 4 | −8 | 419 | +0 | 41 | |
| Round 16 | Croydon | 6 | +26 | 546 | +0 | 40 |
| East Gippsland | 1 | −26 | 251 | +0 | 43 | |
| Round 16 | Old Trinity | 3 | −31 | 684 | −1 | 39 |
| Melbourne Razorbacks | 3 | +31 | 426 | +1 | 41 | |
| Round 16 | RMIT | 3 | −18 | 749 | +0 | 36 |
| Gippsland Strikers | 5 | +18 | 1026 | +0 | 29 | |
| Round 15 | Melton | 11 | +12 | 895 | +0 | 34 |
| Croydon | 2 | −12 | 520 | +0 | 40 | |
| Round 15 | Gippsland Strikers | 16 | +1 | 1008 | +0 | 29 |
| East Gippsland | 0 | −1 | 277 | +0 | 43 | |
| Round 15 | Hume | 1 | −28 | 427 | +0 | 41 |
| Old Trinity | 6 | +28 | 715 | +0 | 38 | |
| Round 15 | La Trobe University | 1 | −63 | 932 | −3 | 33 |
| Melbourne Sikhs | 2 | +63 | 698 | +0 | 39 | |
| Round 15 | Melbourne Razorbacks | 2 | +35 | 395 | +0 | 42 |
| RMIT | 2 | −35 | 767 | −1 | 36 | |
| Round 14 | Croydon | 0 | −10 | 532 | +0 | 40 |
| Gippsland Strikers | 8 | +10 | 1007 | +0 | 29 | |
| Round 14 | East Gippsland | 3 | +45 | 278 | +0 | 43 |
| Melbourne Razorbacks | 2 | −45 | 360 | +0 | 42 | |
| Round 14 | Melbourne Sikhs | 3 | −35 | 635 | +0 | 39 |
| Melton | 7 | +35 | 883 | +0 | 34 | |
| Round 14 | Old Trinity | 0 | −15 | 687 | +0 | 38 |
| La Trobe University | 2 | +15 | 995 | +1 | 30 | |
| Round 14 | RMIT | 7 | +19 | 802 | +0 | 35 |
| Hume | 0 | −19 | 455 | +0 | 41 | |
| Round 13 | Melton | 3 | +34 | 848 | +0 | 34 |
| Old Trinity | 0 | −34 | 702 | −1 | 38 | |
| Round 13 | Hume | 2 | −28 | 474 | +0 | 41 |
| East Gippsland | 2 | +28 | 233 | +0 | 43 | |
| Round 13 | La Trobe University | 1 | +11 | 980 | +0 | 31 |
| RMIT | 0 | −11 | 783 | +0 | 35 | |
| Round 13 | Melbourne Razorbacks | 2 | −4 | 405 | +0 | 42 |
| Gippsland Strikers | 12 | +4 | 997 | +0 | 29 | |
| Round 13 | Melbourne Sikhs | 5 | +19 | 670 | +0 | 39 |
| Croydon | 4 | −19 | 542 | +0 | 40 | |
| Round 12 | Croydon | 4 | +45 | 561 | +0 | 40 |
| Melbourne Razorbacks | 1 | −45 | 409 | +0 | 42 | |
| Round 12 | Gippsland Strikers | 9 | +5 | 993 | +0 | 29 |
| Hume | 2 | −5 | 502 | +0 | 41 | |
| Round 12 | East Gippsland | 0 | −1 | 205 | +0 | 43 |
| La Trobe University | 6 | +1 | 969 | +0 | 31 | |
| Round 12 | Old Trinity | 2 | +22 | 736 | +1 | 37 |
| Melbourne Sikhs | 1 | −22 | 651 | +0 | 39 | |
| Round 12 | RMIT | 3 | +37 | 794 | +1 | 35 |
| Melton | 2 | −37 | 814 | +0 | 34 | |
| Round 11 | Melton | 5 | +2 | 851 | +0 | 34 |
| East Gippsland | 0 | −2 | 206 | +0 | 43 | |
| Round 11 | Melbourne Sikhs | 3 | −28 | 673 | −1 | 39 |
| RMIT | 4 | +28 | 757 | +0 | 36 | |
| Round 11 | Hume | 2 | −41 | 507 | −1 | 41 |
| Melbourne Razorbacks | 3 | +41 | 454 | +0 | 42 | |
| Round 11 | La Trobe University | 0 | −5 | 968 | +0 | 31 |
| Gippsland Strikers | 0 | +5 | 988 | +1 | 29 | |
| Round 11 | Old Trinity | 5 | +29 | 714 | +0 | 38 |
| Croydon | 2 | −29 | 516 | +0 | 40 | |
| Round 10 | Croydon | 3 | +0 | 545 | +0 | 41 |
| Hume | 3 | +0 | 548 | +0 | 40 | |
| Round 10 | Gippsland Strikers | 4 | +36 | 983 | +2 | 30 |
| Melton | 1 | −36 | 849 | +0 | 34 | |
| Round 10 | East Gippsland | 2 | −5 | 208 | +0 | 43 |
| Melbourne Sikhs | 5 | +5 | 701 | +0 | 38 | |
| Round 10 | Melbourne Razorbacks | 2 | −2 | 413 | +0 | 42 |
| La Trobe University | 3 | +2 | 973 | +0 | 31 | |
| Round 10 | RMIT | 0 | −8 | 729 | +0 | 36 |
| Old Trinity | 0 | +8 | 685 | +0 | 39 | |
| Round 9 | Gippsland Strikers | 5 | +24 | 947 | +1 | 32 |
| Melbourne Sikhs | 0 | −24 | 696 | −1 | 38 | |
| Round 9 | Croydon | 0 | −29 | 545 | −1 | 41 |
| RMIT | 2 | +29 | 737 | +1 | 36 | |
| Round 9 | East Gippsland | 0 | −10 | 213 | +0 | 43 |
| Old Trinity | 13 | +10 | 677 | +0 | 39 | |
| Round 9 | Hume | 1 | −4 | 548 | +0 | 40 |
| La Trobe University | 2 | +4 | 971 | +0 | 30 | |
| Round 9 | Melbourne Razorbacks | 1 | −9 | 415 | +0 | 42 |
| Melton | 7 | +9 | 885 | +0 | 34 | |
| Round 8 | Melton | 3 | +9 | 876 | +0 | 34 |
| Hume | 1 | −9 | 552 | +0 | 41 | |
| Round 8 | Melbourne Sikhs | 6 | +8 | 720 | +0 | 37 |
| Melbourne Razorbacks | 5 | −8 | 424 | +0 | 42 | |
| Round 8 | La Trobe University | 4 | +6 | 967 | +0 | 30 |
| Croydon | 2 | −6 | 574 | +0 | 40 | |
| Round 8 | Old Trinity | 1 | −30 | 667 | +0 | 39 |
| Gippsland Strikers | 4 | +30 | 923 | +0 | 33 | |
| Round 8 | RMIT | 13 | +8 | 708 | +0 | 38 |
| East Gippsland | 0 | −8 | 223 | +0 | 43 | |
| Round 7 | Gippsland Strikers | 8 | +41 | 893 | +0 | 34 |
| RMIT | 0 | −41 | 700 | −2 | 38 | |
| Round 7 | East Gippsland | 0 | −20 | 231 | +0 | 43 |
| Croydon | 6 | +20 | 580 | +0 | 40 | |
| Round 7 | Hume | 3 | +21 | 561 | +0 | 41 |
| Melbourne Sikhs | 3 | −21 | 712 | −1 | 37 | |
| Round 7 | La Trobe University | 3 | +49 | 961 | +3 | 30 |
| Melton | 0 | −49 | 867 | −2 | 34 | |
| Round 7 | Melbourne Razorbacks | 1 | −33 | 432 | +0 | 42 |
| Old Trinity | 6 | +33 | 697 | +0 | 39 | |
| Round 6 | Melbourne Sikhs | 1 | −57 | 733 | −1 | 36 |
| La Trobe University | 5 | +57 | 912 | +1 | 32 | |
| Round 6 | Croydon | 1 | −23 | 560 | +0 | 41 |
| Melton | 7 | +23 | 916 | +1 | 32 | |
| Round 6 | East Gippsland | 0 | −4 | 251 | +0 | 43 |
| Gippsland Strikers | 11 | +4 | 852 | +0 | 34 | |
| Round 6 | Old Trinity | 4 | +56 | 664 | +0 | 39 |
| Hume | 0 | −56 | 540 | −1 | 41 | |
| Round 6 | RMIT | 6 | +33 | 741 | +2 | 36 |
| Melbourne Razorbacks | 0 | −33 | 465 | +0 | 42 | |
| Round 5 | Melton | 4 | +60 | 893 | +2 | 32 |
| Melbourne Sikhs | 0 | −60 | 790 | −3 | 35 | |
| Round 5 | Gippsland Strikers | 11 | +25 | 848 | +1 | 33 |
| Croydon | 0 | −25 | 583 | +0 | 40 | |
| Round 5 | Hume | 2 | +16 | 596 | +1 | 40 |
| RMIT | 2 | −16 | 708 | −1 | 38 | |
| Round 5 | La Trobe University | 3 | +15 | 855 | +1 | 33 |
| Old Trinity | 1 | −15 | 608 | +0 | 39 | |
| Round 5 | Melbourne Razorbacks | 2 | +11 | 498 | +0 | 42 |
| East Gippsland | 1 | −11 | 255 | +0 | 43 | |
| Round 4 | Gippsland Strikers | 7 | +15 | 823 | +2 | 33 |
| Melbourne Razorbacks | 0 | −15 | 487 | +0 | 42 | |
| Round 4 | Croydon | 4 | +59 | 608 | +1 | 40 |
| Melbourne Sikhs | 3 | −59 | 850 | +0 | 32 | |
| Round 4 | East Gippsland | 0 | −26 | 266 | +0 | 43 |
| Hume | 8 | +26 | 580 | +0 | 41 | |
| Round 4 | Old Trinity | 1 | −17 | 623 | +0 | 39 |
| Melton | 2 | +17 | 833 | +1 | 33 | |
| Round 4 | RMIT | 0 | −88 | 724 | −2 | 37 |
| La Trobe University | 5 | +88 | 840 | +4 | 33 | |
| Round 3 | Melton | 3 | +30 | 816 | +1 | 33 |
| RMIT | 2 | −30 | 812 | −1 | 34 | |
| Round 3 | Hume | 1 | −40 | 554 | −1 | 41 |
| Gippsland Strikers | 9 | +40 | 808 | +1 | 35 | |
| Round 3 | La Trobe University | 14 | +8 | 752 | +0 | 37 |
| East Gippsland | 0 | −8 | 292 | +0 | 43 | |
| Round 3 | Melbourne Razorbacks | 1 | +7 | 502 | +0 | 42 |
| Croydon | 1 | −7 | 549 | −1 | 41 | |
| Round 3 | Melbourne Sikhs | 2 | −32 | 909 | +0 | 32 |
| Old Trinity | 2 | +32 | 640 | +0 | 39 | |
| Round 2 | Gippsland Strikers | 4 | +68 | 768 | +2 | 35 |
| La Trobe University | 1 | −68 | 744 | −3 | 36 | |
| Round 2 | Croydon | 0 | −31 | 556 | −1 | 41 |
| Old Trinity | 1 | +31 | 608 | +1 | 40 | |
| Round 2 | East Gippsland | 0 | −8 | 300 | +0 | 43 |
| Melton | 9 | +8 | 786 | +0 | 33 | |
| Round 2 | Melbourne Razorbacks | 3 | +15 | 495 | +0 | 42 |
| Hume | 3 | −15 | 594 | −1 | 40 | |
| Round 2 | RMIT | 6 | +170 | 842 | +5 | 33 |
| Melbourne Sikhs | 1 | −170 | 941 | −5 | 32 | |
| Round 1 | Melton | 3 | −16 | 778 | +0 | 34 |
| Gippsland Strikers | 3 | +16 | 700 | +0 | 37 | |
| Round 1 | Hume | 2 | −4 | 609 | +0 | 40 |
| Croydon | 2 | +4 | 587 | +0 | 41 | |
| Round 1 | La Trobe University | 2 | +6 | 812 | +0 | 33 |
| Melbourne Razorbacks | 1 | −6 | 480 | +0 | 42 | |
| Round 1 | Old Trinity | 0 | −54 | 577 | −3 | 41 |
| RMIT | 2 | +54 | 672 | +1 | 38 | |
| Round 1 | Melbourne Sikhs | 4 | +1 | 1111 | +0 | 27 |
| East Gippsland | 0 | −1 | 308 | +0 | 43 | |
Played schedule and remaining games, ranked hardest to easiest
| Pos | Team | Games in hand | SoS (Played) | Avg Opponent Elo (Played) | SoS (Remaining) | Avg Opponent Elo (Remaining) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Croydon | 0 | 43.8% opponent win rate | 687 | — | — |
| — | East Gippsland | 0 | 45.7% opponent win rate | 712 | — | — |
| — | Gippsland Strikers | 0 | 39.8% opponent win rate | 665 | — | — |
| — | Hume | 0 | 45.7% opponent win rate | 677 | — | — |
| — | La Trobe University | 0 | 45.0% opponent win rate | 687 | — | — |
| — | Melbourne Razorbacks | 0 | 44.5% opponent win rate | 691 | — | — |
| — | Melbourne Sikhs | 0 | 42.6% opponent win rate | 648 | — | — |
| — | Melton | 0 | 40.4% opponent win rate | 658 | — | — |
| — | Old Trinity | 0 | 41.4% opponent win rate | 658 | — | — |
| — | RMIT | 0 | 42.3% opponent win rate | 673 | — | — |
Opponent win rate is the displayed measure. SoS (Played) uses every completed game. SoS (Remaining) is the average current win rate of the opponents in every regular-season game still to play. Pos ranks remaining-schedule difficulty within the selected division.